Looking Ahead with 20/20 Vision
May 5th, 2008The year 2020 is twelve years in the future. Think back to twelve years in the past. In the year 1996, few people had computers in their homes. Now almost everyone has a computer, and many homes have multiple computers. No one was doing web banking in 1996, now many people manage their accounts, trade stocks and commodities, make purchases, pay their taxes, and keep their finances organized online. In those days we used telephones to keep in contact with friends and colleagues; now we use Internet applications such as Skype to talk for free online. In 1996, most schools were just getting one computer per classroom. Teachers did not yet have school email accounts. Broadband was just being developed, so there was no video streaming as of yet. Many images had not yet been published online. We were just getting used to Windows 98; many of us were just glad to be free of DOS. We have come far in the last twelve years. Where will we be twelve years from now?
Who knows? What can we imagine? How will schools meet the many needs of education? What benefits and detriments will technology bring to our students and their educational growth? Will the promise of individualized education through technology come true? Will there even be a teacher in the classroom?
Over the past few years, according to Thomas Frey of the DaVinci Institute, we have had a huge growth in the volume of information available to us. He offers several statistics – we have gone from zero to 3.5 million songs available on iTunes. There are currently about 60 million blogs online, up from none about five years ago. A new one is added at the rate of one every two seconds. There are now 6.1 million videos available on YouTube. This explosion of information is in marked contrast to the days of Frederick Douglas. He was born in 1818. When he was about eight years old, he lived in Baltimore, as a slave with the Auld family. Contrary to the laws of the day, Sylvia Ault taught him the basics of reading. Frederick would grab scraps of newspaper blowing on the street and raid trash piles to find material to read. In two hundred years, we have gone from books being a rarity to 6.1 million volumes available on Amazon with one day delivery. What would Douglass have to say about that? Perhaps he would comment that education would have a difficult time keeping pace with the amount of information that is available!
In looking forward to the future, students will need to be able to access and process information. They will need skills in critical thinking to help them analyze and synthesize the information. These skills cannot be developed using yesterday’s methods. Today’s students must begin to integrate technology at an early age. From the basics of word processing, to manipulating various types of media such as sound clips, videos, music, the world is becoming smaller, and the American student of today will be competing not just with the people of other cities or states, but with the students of the world. The country that accepts and integrates technology first will have a huge advantage in the market place of the future. Check out this Teacher Tube video for statistics comparing the US to many other countries, and offering statistics on the explosion of information. Download Video: Posted by ben.thompson at TeacherTube.com.
What will our reaction to the changes in society, culture, information, and collaboration be? Will we try to make our current curriculum fit the new world, or will the new world force a huge change in our curriculum? Where will standardized testing fit into all this, or will that fall to the wayside when the public realizes that huge amounts of time are used to prepare for the test, and demand a change. One commercial site, https://www.Futurekids.com, has a program to jumpstart schools in the right direction. In addition to training, their website offers a list of hard-and software that the students of today need use on a daily basis. One laptop per child is at the basis of their program. They want schools to have and use an information processing suite of programs, Inspiration Software, Adobe Creative Suite, interactive white boards, D-Link access points, a printer and digital camera, digital video cameras, mobile laptop carts, projectors, and webcams. This wish list would bring the schools of today up to 2007 standards.
So back to our question, what about the year 2020? A few things we have established in the preceding paragraphs. There will be a huge amount of information available. The marketplace will be global in scope. Many general skills of higher level thinking will be needed in order to understand and respond to challenges. In an article from Western Illinois University’s Patricia L. Hutinger, one of the main points is that technology will not control education, but rather will provide tools for learning that we must control and manage to the benefit of our students. She states, “The critical gear we carry on the research trail into the future is our mindset, one of exploration, of investigation, of accepting new ways of doing new things. Those who become entrenched in the past, those who say, “This is the way we’ve always done it,” will find that their gear is too heavy.” This reinforces our understanding that we must be moving with the changes, rather than standing in the way.
All the signs post to a coming age of flexibility, of individualized education, of the use of technology as a tool for learning and connecting. We cannot determine what schools will look like in the year 2020, but we do know that the schools of today with ether change with the times or become extinct, put out of business by others who are determined to ride the wave in preparing confident life time learners, ready to meet the challenges that are rushing toward us.
Resources
http://www.davinciinstitute.com/page.php?ID=170
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frederick_Douglass
http://www.teachertube.com/view_video.php?viewkey=4020e7ad8f6cd9d39fa9

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